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Forecast Reports

Forecast Report: Anti-Migrant Unrest in Ireland

Forecast Reports / By / September 1, 2024

Citizens of Ireland are leading anti-migrant protests more frequently nationwide due to the steep increase in asylum applications over the past year. Many such protests have turned violent, with protestors setting fires and clashing with police. In the coming weeks, an increased security presence and travel disruptions near asylum sites due to unrest are likely. Although the government is working on a better approach to immigrant integration, it will take time to implement new policies.

Forecast Report: Mexico Droughts and the Ongoing Water Crisis

Forecast Reports / By / September 1, 2024

Cities in Mexico are at risk of running out of clean drinking water due to low-capacity reservoirs and diminished aquifers caused by droughts during the El Niño season. The water crisis will likely persist in the coming months due to a lack of rainfall; however, Mexico’s government has announced intentions to repair and create water infrastructure to help mitigate the water shortage, which will affect water flow throughout the cities. Demonstrations and roadblocks in response to the ongoing water crisis have caused travel disruptions throughout several cities.

Forecast Report: French Anti-Far-Right Protests

Forecast Reports / By / June 30, 2024

The dissolution of a Parliament is the simultaneous termination of all its members in preparation for a new election occurring before the general election. French President Emmanuel Macron set forth a dissolution and terminated the lower house of the French Parliament, moving forward with the election process.

Forecast Report: Georgia Foreign Agent Bill and Related Protests

Forecast Reports / By / June 8, 2024

In May 2024, Georgia’s parliament passed a controversial foreign agent bill requiring organizations receiving over 20 percent of their funding from abroad to register as foreign agents. As a result, such organizations are subject to additional scrutiny from the Georgian government via targeted legislation and additional auditing/reporting of operations. This legislation received backlash, with opposition arguing that it stifles freedom of speech and is similar to suppressive Russian laws. Protests have since erupted with demonstrators clashing with police, who used tear gas and water cannons to disperse crowds. SafeAbroad analysts assess that this has created an unsafe environment for travelers, especially in the Georgian capital of Tbilisi where protests are more frequent and intense.

Forecast Report: The 2024 Paris Olympics and Paralympics

Forecast Reports / By / September 1, 2024

SafeAbroad analysts have assessed the 2024 Paris Olympics and Paralympics to be a moderate risk at this time. With 10,500 athletes from 206 National Olympic Committees competing across 41 venues, the Games promise to attract a massive audience, with an estimated 15 million visitors expected in Paris alone. Security concerns for travelers encompass a heightened risk of terrorism, geopolitical conflicts, and local tensions.

Forecast Report: Argentinian Reforms and Unrest Under Milei

Forecast Reports / By / April 5, 2024

SafeAbroad analysts have assessed that there is a high degree of likelihood that the majority of the Milei Government’s reforms will be approved by the National Congress, at the latest by February 14. This is predicted to generate significant civil unrest throughout the country, including disruptive protests, which have a high risk of devolving into …

Forecast Report: Argentinian Reforms and Unrest Under Milei Read More »

Forecast Report: Diwali Festivals 2023

Forecast Reports / By / September 1, 2024

SafeAbroad Analysts have assessed Diwali celebrations in major Indian cities to be relatively low-risk at this time; however, petty crime, protests, environmental hazards, and traffic-related incidents pose a moderate risk to students.

Forecast Report: Argentinian General Elections

Forecast Reports / By / September 1, 2024

SafeAbroad analysts have assessed the upcoming 2023 election in Argentina will have a moderate impact on travelers in the country. The heated election is likely to create frequent and possibly intense political demonstrations in the days leading up to the vote, but said demonstrations have a low chance of turning violent. However, these risks could increase in the event of a runoff or contested election following the October 22 vote.

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