Flooding and landslides have occurred across Bosnia and Herzegovina as of October 4. The destruction has been centered in the Herzegovina-Neretva Canton, including the cities of Mostar and Konjic. The municipality of Jablanica has been the most affected, with 16 dead so far. Infrastructure in the region has been heavily damaged.
Over the coming week, activists will gather in public squares, near government buildings, on roadways, and at transport hubs in cities across Europe to denounce the Israel-Hamas conflict. Presence of security forces will likely be heightened due to the significance of the October 7 anniversary. Disruptions to transport are likely and clashes between police and activists may take place at any demonstrations that materialize. Associated acts of terrorism are possible.
Until October 5, Typhoon Krathon (Julian) will cause strong winds and heavy rainfall across Taiwan. Two deaths and 123 injuries have been reported so far. After making landfall near Kaohsiung, the storm is forecast to move north, likely downgrading to a tropical storm by October 4 around Douliu City and then moving west into the Taiwan Strait. Landslides and flash floods are likely, particularly near hills and in low-lying areas.
On October 5, railway workers from the Panhellenic Union of Traction Personnel (PEPE) will go on strike for 24-hours across Greece. The strike calls for improved workplace safety standards to prevent future accidents. This comes after two trains nearly collided in Agioi Anargyroi after an error by the stationmaster.
On October 5, protesters will gather unlawfully in Rome, Italy in response to the Israel-Hamas conflict. Italian officials outlawed the demonstrations, however they are expected to be carried out. Clashes between law enforcement and demonstrators are likely. A heavy security presence is expected.
Since September 29, a wildfire that began near Xylokastro has spread in southern Greece. It has caused several towns to be evacuated and the shutdown of the highway between Athens and Patras. Over 350 firefighters have been deployed to stop the fire alongside specialized aircraft. Similar fires are expected to break out in the southeastern Aegean, including Rhodes.
Since September 23, Israel has intensified military operations against Hezbollah in Lebanon, with expectations for continued conflict. Hezbollah and Iranian-backed groups have expanded their attacks, and both sides have vowed not to back down. Israel does appear willing to launch a limited ground invasion of southern Lebanon.
The US Embassy has issued a Weather Alert for Taiwan, warning of the landfall of Typhoon Julian in the next couple of days. The typhoon will impact Eastern and Southern Taiwan, bringing heavy rain and strong winds. Flooding and landslides are possible.
On September 26, Peru declared a sixty-day state of emergency for several districts until at least November 25 due to transport strikes and associated protests. The right to free transit, assembly, and warrantless searches are suspended under this state of emergency. Several schools and universities have canceled classes and curfews and stay-at-home orders are possible.
Security has been heightened at several religious sites across Mumbai, India, for upcoming religious festivals. India’s Intelligence Bureau issued an alert on September 28 for possible terror activity throughout the city. Precautions are being taken.