Raifton Bartling

Raif is an intern at SafeAbroad, on the Tactical Intelligence Team. He holds a BA in International Relations from Michigan State University and is currently pursuing a masters degree from Johns Hopkins SAIS.

Cities across Thailand will hold the annual light festival from November 15-29; expect travel delays and heightened security.

In Bangkok, hundreds of thousands can be expected to attend, especially at Rattanakosin Island. Festivities will culminate at different dates depending on location, with the main date in Bangkok being November 24. Celebrations throughout the country will primarily take place near rivers, lakes, canals, and other water sources. A heightened police presence will occur at designated festival sites to guard against crimes of opportunity.

Belize imposed a 30-day state of emergency on November 1 for multiple areas; expect heightened security and follow official directives.

This order was implemented on November 1 in response to increases in gang-related violence and will last thirty days. The measure covers parts of Belize City, Ladyville, Cotton Tree, Unitedville, and sections of the Coastal Highway between La Democracia and Hope Creek. Authorities have deployed additional security forces, instituted checkpoints, and expanded search and detention powers. Gatherings of three or more people may be restricted, and an 8:00 PM-6:00 AM curfew applies to unaccompanied minors.

Several hundred rioters remain in Paris, France after the October 31 march according to authorities; maintain situational awareness in public.

70,000 protestors marched through the city on October 31. Police continue to clash with what they describe as ‘several hundred remaining rioters’ in the city. Authorities have used tear gas, while rioters have thrown projectiles including Molotov cocktails and chunks of concrete. Most of the protestors associated with the official march were peaceful, and turnout was lower than previous weeks, but expect sporadic, unpredictable violence during the rest of the day.

500 soldiers will be deployed to Milan, Italy until the end of the year; comply with all official directives.

The Italian government has announced it will deploy 500 soldiers to support police in Milan until the end of the year. The government has also passed laws to increase penalties for rioters and looters. Soldiers have mostly been stationed in the city center where protestors looted businesses in a previous protest. Protests in Milan on October 30 were largely peaceful and avoided confrontation, but clashes occurred with police in other cities.

Protestors will march illegally from Bastille to Nation in Paris, France, on October 31; expect clashes with police.

Interior Minister of France Laurent Nunez has forbade protestors from gathering in city centers. Student protest organizers in Paris have announced their intention to march from Bastille to Nation in defiance of the order. Nunez warned of a forceful police response, with 70,00 officers deploying armored vehicles, water cannons, and other heavy equipment. Expect heightened security, possible clashes, dispersals, arrests, and business closures along the route.

Peaceful protests across Germany may be infiltrated by extremist groups intending to incite violence; avoid protests and expect heightened security.

The ‘Gen-Z Stands Up’ movement has planned protests in 21 cities across the country to demonstrate against high cost of living, unemployment, and in solidarity with French protests. The organizers have called for the protests to be peaceful, but German authorities have warned that leftist groups may exploit the occasion to incite violence. Halloween has traditionally seen an uptick in disturbances by teen groups setting off fireworks, which may add additional chaos.

Protests across Western Europe will spread and escalate from October 31 through the weekend; expect heightened security and violence.

Hundreds of thousands of protestors are expected to gather in countries including the United Kingdom, Spain, Belgium, France, Germany, Greece, and Italy. Levels of violence will vary, but some right and left wing extremist groups have made plans to infiltrate demonstrations to cause escalation. Affected countries will deploy heavily armed police and are coordinating to prevent cross-border coordination of unrest. Protests may also occur in other European countries.

Looters plan action in several cities across Spain, for October 31; expect a heightened police presence and possible violence.

Following a night of rioting and looting in Barcelona in which over 100 people were arrested, a group known as Blocus has called for similar unrest in cities across Spain on October 31 including Madrid, Barcelona, Algeciras, and San Pedro de Alcantara. They plan to use large objects to break store windows  and wear masks to avoid identification while looting. It is unknown how many plan to show up, but a heightened police presence is expected in all identified cities.

The United States updated its United Arab Emirates advisory on October 24 to include terrorism risks; reconsider travel itineraries.

The Department of State updated its travel advisory for the United Arab Emirates due to the possibility of terrorism and armed conflict related to the war with Iran. The country alert remains at level 3, ‘reconsider travel’, but this new information reflects the heightened possibility of attack that comes in tandem with Houthi strikes on Saudi Arabia. Other countries whose travel advisories were updated include Bahrain, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, and Saudi Arabia.

Authorities across France have imposed partial curfews on October 19-20 in several cities amid violent unrest; monitor the situation.

French Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu has instructed prefects to impose limited, localized curfews where needed to prevent further looting and rioting linked to the ongoing protests across the country. Partial curfews will be in force overnight on October 19-20 in several cities, including Paris, Lille, and Lyon. Authorities have also banned public gatherings and protests at certain hours in some areas, including Marseille and Paris. Lecornu said the government is prepared to declare a state of emergency if necessary.

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