Raifton Bartling

Raif is an intern at SafeAbroad, on the Tactical Intelligence Team. He holds a BA in International Relations from Michigan State University and is currently pursuing a masters degree from Johns Hopkins SAIS.

Authorities across France have imposed partial curfews on October 19-20 in several cities amid violent unrest; monitor the situation.

French Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu has instructed prefects to impose limited, localized curfews where needed to prevent further looting and rioting linked to the ongoing protests across the country. Partial curfews will be in force overnight on October 19-20 in several cities, including Paris, Lille, and Lyon. Authorities have also banned public gatherings and protests at certain hours in some areas, including Marseille and Paris. Lecornu said the government is prepared to declare a state of emergency if necessary.

Bulgaria will hold presidential elections on October 25, with a possible runoff on November 1; expect delays near voting stations.

Around seven million people are eligible to vote. About half that number is expected to appear at voting stations around the country. The two main candidates are the incumbent Iliana Iotova and the pro-EU opposition figure Andrey Gyurov. All past presidential elections have proceeded to a runoff vote, meaning the election will likely continue to the second round of voting scheduled for November 1. Traffic during the day will be concentrated near designated voting stations.

The Signal Light Festival will draw hundreds of thousands to Prague, Czechia, from October 15-18; expect travel delays.

The Signal Light Festival is the largest cultural event hosted in Prague, attracting between 250,000-500,000 attendees each year. Lighting installations will be displayed in streets, public spaces, and buildings in the City Centre and in the Dejvice neighborhood. The possibility exists that they may extend to neighboring municipalities as well. Expect large crowds and travel delays near major displays and on the metro Line A, particularly from 7:00 PM to 12:00 AM each night when they will be most visible.

Fuel-shortage induced power outages across Cuba are expected to limit healthcare services and cause medicine, clean water, and food shortages; practice good hygiene.

Limited access to clean water has caused an uptick in cases of diarrheal illness such as E. coli, norovirus, and viral hepatitis across the country. Healthcare facilities have also seen disruptions to essential services such as refrigeration, medicine procurement, and sanitation, requiring them to prioritize emergency and urgent care. The disruptions have been attributed in part to ongoing fuel shortages, which have also caused repeated power outages across the country in recent months.

General elections held across Bosnia and Herzegovina on October 4 will cause crowds at voting stations and possible political unrest.

According to election monitoring organizations, the campaign season has been marked by improper use of state resources, hate speech, and misinformation. Politics in the country remain divided along ethnic lines between Bosniaks, Croats, and Serbs, and three million people are registered to vote. Election related unrest is unlikely, but possible. If it does take place, it will likely occur at voting stations or elsewhere that has crowds.

A state of emergency has been extended for one year across four provinces in Thailand to combat insurgents; Do not travel to affected areas.

Thailand has extended its use of the Internal Security Act until September 30, 2027, in districts across the provinces of Songkhla, Pattani, Yala, and Narathiwat. Under this law, Thai authorities may impose curfews, suppress media, restrict travel, confiscate property, and detain individuals without charge. This follows a series of bombings and arson incidents in August likely perpetrated by insurgent separatist group ‘Barisan Revolusi Nasional’.

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