Miles Howard

Expect heightened security and follow official directives amid states of emergency in several areas of Peru until at least December 21.

Peruvian authorities have extended the SoE in the Callao region and Lima until at least December 21, and declared an additional SoE in the Trujillo and Viru provinces until at least January 21, 2026 citing persistent criminal violence. These measures increase security presences, expand powers for searches, and implement more checkpoints, although no curfew has been announced. This coincides with recent anti-government protests and related unrest.

Expect a heightened security presence and road closures in Manila, Philippines between November 16-18 amid large government corruption protests.

Members of the Iglesia Ni Cristo religious group plan to protest in Manila from November 16-18 to call for greater transparency and accountability following alleged corruption in flood control projects. Reports indicate ~30,000 people will be in attendance, and are expected to assemble at Rizal Park though start times remain unannounced. A heightened security presence is to be expected as 9,800 police officers will be deployed alongside multiple road closures.

Continue to exercise caution across Ecuador over the coming weeks as the 60-day state of emergency has been extended.

President Daniel Noboa has extended the current 60-day state of emergency (SoE) until at least January 5, 2026 in the following provinces: Bolivar, Cotopaxi, El Oro, Guayas, Los Rios, Manabi, and Santa Elena. This action is in response to internal unrest and violence from organized crime groups, and allows for unwarranted searches of homes and  suspends the right to private communication.

Expect heightened security measures and travel bans nationwide in Bolivia on October 19 during the presidential runoff period.

On October 19, authorities will ban rail and road travel, suspend domestic flights, reinforce security around polling facilities and government buildings, and prohibit all political gatherings until 6:00 PM. Transportation services should resume by 12:00 PM on October 20. Checkpoints and patrols will be in effect in La Paz, Sucre, Santa Cruz, Chapare, and El Alto where interference warings raise risks of clashes. Results will be announced on October 26, though it could be contested, raising the risk of post-election demonstrations.

Expect residual disruptions over the coming days following severe thunderstorms, flooding, and outages across several states in Mexico.

Heavy rain, thunderstorms, and strong winds have caused severe impact across several Mexican states (including Chiapas, Guanajuato, Guerrero, Hidalgo, Oaxaca, Puebla, Tamaulipas, and Veracruz). Flooding and landslides have killed at least 37 people and damaged about 6,000 homes. The storms cut power to roughly 320,000 users and closed major roadways. Further residual disruptions are likely over the coming days as conditions stabilize.

Authorities have shut down public transportation in anticipation for Typhoon Matmo’s landfall across China on October 5; expect widespread travel disruptions. 

Chinese authorities have shut down public transportation across Hainan and Guangdong as Typhoon Matmo nears landfall around 12:00 PM on October 5 during Golden Week. All flights at Haikou Meilan International Airport (HAK) have been canceled from October 4 with train and ferry services being suspended as well. Haikou and Zhanjiang will further pause schools, work, and local transport as spillover impacts are expected across Guangxi, Yunnan, and Hong Kong.

Civil servants will launch an indefinite nationwide walkout across Uganda on October 1, expect widespread disruptions to government services.

The Uganda Local Government Workers Union (ULGWU) has called for an indefinite  nationwide walkout on October 1 regarding salary grievances. This demonstration may slow or suspend functions in ministries, local government offices, schools, and public services. Pressure on services is already elevated as the National Teachers’ Union has been on strike since September 15 over similar grievances.

Bus driver strikes in Manchester, UK from September 30-October 2 will disrupt Bee Network bus services.

On September 30- October 2, over 2,000 drivers associated with the Unite union at Stagecoach, Metroline Manchester, and First Bus Rochdale will walk out after failed pay negotiations. This follows a September 19-22 strike which suspended about two-thirds of Bee Network routes, including school services and routes across South East Manchester. Transport for Greater Manchester (TfGM) has stated the strike will cause widespread disruptions.

The hoax bomb threats on September 5 targeting sensitive locations in Mumbai, India have led to evacuations and a visible increase in security.

Hoax bomb threats in Mumbai on September 5 have led to evacuations and a visible increase in security around schools, transportation hubs, hospitals, and hotels. These incidents have caused evacuations and travel delays, despite no explosives being recovered. Further threats are likely amid the Hindu Ganeshotsav festival running through October, though these events are more likely to be hoaxes rather than actual attacks.

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